Here’s a map of predicted electoral votes from the Huffington Post. Here’s a really cool graphic that shoes the 512 possible paths to the White House, as well as a swing-state tracker from the NYTimes that helps understand how the paths are a little misleading b/c Romney is up in Florida and North Carolina, a scenario the tracker doesn’t easily show. Obama is in the lead, but that doesn’t mean much as we know from our experience with polls. Nate Silver of course touches on this exact issue, but he has certainly come under abuse for posing a threat to traditional horse race journalism.
On a side note, I’m curious how the hurricane is going to affect voter turnout – will fewer people be able to get to a booth. What about places where gas is still low and electricity still out?
BUT, this NYTimes piece is what interested me most this week because it basically shows the fundamental flaw with trickle-down economics, and the Republicans desire to hush-up said flaw:
“WASHINGTON — The Congressional Research Service has withdrawn an economic report that found no correlation between top tax rates and economic growth, a central tenet of conservative economic theory, after Senate Republicans raised concerns about the paper’s findings and wording.”
As Romney founded his campaign on economic recovery, and with recent reports of job growth and failure of tax cuts for the wealthiest, will his campaign be hurt?
Journalists report on the economy because it directly affects people’s lives – meaning it touches our reptilian emotional sphere. Clotaire Rapaille doesn’t listen to what people say, but breaks the codes behind what they are saying to find what identity is most appealing to the mass. He believes in a reptilian reaction in journalism, appeal to people’s gut instinct: “In the kind of communication I’m developing and using, with 50 of the Fortune 100 companies who are my clients, almost full time, it is not enough to give a cortex message. “Buy my product because it’s 10 percent cheaper”: That’s cortex. Well, if the other is 15 percent cheaper, I move to the others. You don’t buy loyalty with percentages. That is key. It’s not a question of numbers; it’s the first reptilian reaction.”
Romney harnesses reptilian reaction through his natural oration, as opposed to Obama. Can Obama use these last few days to become an eloquent orator and tell people what he’ll do in the next-four years and what he’s already done?